Recent newcomer activities.
This data comparison shows that the most significant bull cycles in Bitcoin history have often peaked when the influx of new investors reaches a specific threshold—a phenomenon fueled by a fear of missing out (FOMO) among new entrants.
Bitcoin Quiet Buildup
Interestingly, the current cycle presents a deviation from this established trend. Instead of experiencing new inflows at price tops, Bitcoin’s price ascent this time does not align with a significant increase in newcomer investments.
This observation suggests that current upward price trends are not the result of a massive influx of new market participants but rather likely supported by different factors within the broader financial ecosystem.
The current bull cycle’s support appears to rely heavily on the introduction and performance of spot ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) focused on Bitcoin.
These financial products have provided both seasoned and new investors a regulated pathway to invest in Bitcoin, potentially stabilizing its price without the direct participation of newcomers typically seen in past cycles.
However, as the market adjusts to these instruments, the same CryptoQuant analysis suggests a potential shift may be on the horizon.
According to the analysis, the minor wave of new inflows observed in the first quarter of 2024 is a precursor to what might become more pronounced market behavior in future cycles.
The analyst elaborated that the lack of major new entrant inflows near price tops at these levels could indicate that Bitcoin will likely experience longer periods of upside move when more existing and novice investors start participating in the market.
This pattern, once initiated, could lead to more strong and longer-lasting bull markets compared to those triggered by temporary FOMO.
BTC Market Performance and Outlook
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is still seeing some fairly bullish price action. So far, the asset is still maintaining its price mark above $65,000, with a current trading price of $67,495, up by 3.8% in the past 24 hours.
Amid this price performance, notable analysts in the space have continued to be bullish on Bitcoin, sharing their respective optimistic views on its price action. Just recently, an analyst known as Moustache on Elon Musk’s social media platform X disclosed an interesting observation on BTC’s chart.
According to the analyst, Bitcoin has been copying the famous Wyckoff Reaccumulation Model, indicating that a major surge is on the horizon.
Did you know that $BTC copies the famous Wyckoff Reaccumulation Model almost perfectly?
I’ve been sharing this chart for weeks now.
Don’t let yourself be shaken out here. Higher soon.
$70,000 next. pic.twitter.com/xv3d3soYq9
— 𝕄𝕠𝕦𝕤𝕥𝕒𝕔ⓗ𝕖 (@el_crypto_prof) July 25, 2024
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView